Lechia Gdansk 1-0 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 14 Sep 2024

Lechia Gdansk
1-0 HT 0-0
Radomiak Radom
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Lechia Gdansk vs Radomiak Radom Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
13%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.58
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
11%
5.62
X/2
10%
5.74
X/X
13%
4.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
27.0
2/2
16%
3.7
2/X
7%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lechia Gdansk v Radomiak Radom — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.55/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.35
+11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +54%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
21.2 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Lechia Gdansk vs Radomiak Radom Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lechia Gdansk
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
1.36 xG 2.45
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
378 Passes 223
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.02.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-3 HT 0-2 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
14.08.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 4-1 HT 2-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
27.02.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-0 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
28.08.2021 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2-2 HT 2-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL

Lechia Gdansk 1-0 Radomiak Radom — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lechia Gdansk
1-0
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.62 xG 1.65
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
292 Passes 345
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
36 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lechia Gdansk vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lechia Gdansk squeezed past Radomiak Radom 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Lechia Gdansk found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lechia Gdansk had 47% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 53%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.62 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Radomiak Radom led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lechia Gdansk and 2.75 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Lechia Gdansk vs Radomiak Radom?

Lechia Gdansk 1-0 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lechia Gdansk vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lechia Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lechia Gdansk 37%, draw 29%, Radomiak Radom 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
14 Sep 2024
18:30 Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin Analysis →
21:15 Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Analysis →