Cracovia Krakow 2-1 Pogon Szczecin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.09
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.07
6+ Goals
12%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.82
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
12%
5.98
X/2
11%
5.45
X/X
13%
5.09
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
19%
3.35
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.39/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.20
+7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
20.4 Crosses 20.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.17 xG 1.65
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
249 Passes 382
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
30.03.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 3-1 HT 2-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
23.09.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-5 HT 0-2 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
08.04.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 3-2 HT 2-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
17.09.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-1 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
12.03.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-1 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
18.09.2021 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 1-1 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
2-1
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
2.58 xG 1.48
38% Ball Possession 62%
19 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
212 Passes 408
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow edged past Pogon Szczecin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Cracovia Krakow made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 38% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 62%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 2.58 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 2.33 for Pogon Szczecin.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin?

Cracovia Krakow 2-1 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 37%, draw 26%, Pogon Szczecin 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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