Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lech Poznan v Jagiellonia Bialystok — Team-Based Signals
Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 2-0
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
2-0
HT 1-0
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
1-2
HT 1-1
Lech Poznan
POL
3-0
HT 0-0
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
1-0
HT 0-0
Lech Poznan
POL
Lech Poznan 5-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Actual Match Statistics
Lech Poznan ran out comfortable winners over Jagiellonia Bialystok 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lech Poznan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Lech Poznan had 60% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 40%, shots finished 18-2, expected goals 3.14 to 0.06.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lech Poznan and 1.00 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.
What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Lech Poznan 5-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 49%, draw 23%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.