Al Nassr 3-1 Al Kholood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.07
2-3 Goals
35%
2.06
4-5 Goals
33%
2.4
6+ Goals
13%
4.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-11.8pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.7pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+6.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-6.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.26/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.51
+10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +98% / -33%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
438 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
22.6 Crosses 13.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Kholood
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
3.14 xG 2.11
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 7
13 Corners 1
528 Passes 240
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2024 Al Kholood Al Kholood 3-3 HT 2-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
3-1
AWAY Al Kholood
1.90 xG 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 12
295 Passes 364
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 35
6 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Kholood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr got the better of Al Kholood 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Nassr had 47% of the ball to Al Kholood's 53%, shots finished 13-23, expected goals 1.90 to 1.50.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Kholood?

Al Nassr 3-1 Al Kholood in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Kholood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 59%, draw 21%, Al Kholood 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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