Damac FC 1-0 Al-Qadsiah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
52%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.9
Over 2.5
60%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
3.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
30%
3.38
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
16%
+10.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-9.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
49%
-9.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
51%
+9.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 66%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.89/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.95
+14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +90%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 84%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
15.6 Crosses 24.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.13 xG 1.66
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
240 Passes 388
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 2-1 HT 1-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
06.02.2021 Damac FC Damac FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
23.10.2020 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 2-1 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
1-0
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
1.04 xG 1.11
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 8
288 Passes 470
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 19
3 Crosses 47
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al-Qadsiah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Damac FC squeezed past Al-Qadsiah 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al-Qadsiah at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Damac FC had 40% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 60%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 1.04 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al-Qadsiah led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Damac FC and 2.00 for Al-Qadsiah.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al-Qadsiah?

Damac FC 1-0 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al-Qadsiah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 26%, draw 22%, Al-Qadsiah 51%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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