Bandırmaspor 1-0 Adanaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
19%
4.16
X/2
9%
9.54
X/X
10%
5.02
2/1
10%
23.4
2/2
7%
7.76
2/X
8%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
55%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.2pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 23%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.57/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.58
+20% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
18.2 Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Adanaspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 1.05
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
324 Passes 278
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
11.05.2024 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
24.12.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-3 HT 2-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
07.10.2022 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
27.02.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
02.10.2021 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-5 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
1-0
AWAY Adanaspor
1.56 xG 1.94
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
190 Passes 339
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Adanaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor nicked a narrow win over Adanaspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bandırmaspor as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 37% of the ball to Adanaspor's 63%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.56 to 1.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bandırmaspor and 1.00 for Adanaspor.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Adanaspor?

Bandırmaspor 1-0 Adanaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Adanaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 54%, draw 24%, Adanaspor 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandırmaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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