BG Pathum United vs Lamphun Warrior Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BG Pathum United v Lamphun Warrior — Team-Based Signals
BG Pathum United vs Lamphun Warrior Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
BG Pathum United
TAY
1-0
HT 0-0
Lamphun Warrior
TAY
BG Pathum United 1-0 Lamphun Warrior — Actual Match Statistics
BG Pathum United squeezed past Lamphun Warrior 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had BG Pathum United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, BG Pathum United had 50% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 50%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.87 to 0.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lamphun Warrior led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for BG Pathum United and 1.75 for Lamphun Warrior.
What was the final score of BG Pathum United vs Lamphun Warrior?
BG Pathum United 1-0 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BG Pathum United vs Lamphun Warrior?
Before kick-off our model rated a BG Pathum United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split BG Pathum United 51%, draw 28%, Lamphun Warrior 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BG Pathum United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.