Shandong Taishan 2-1 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.98
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.33
No
39%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.02
2-3 Goals
36%
2.17
4-5 Goals
28%
2.31
6+ Goals
14%
4.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.49
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
5%
11.9
X/1
11%
5.37
X/2
8%
8.05
X/X
12%
6.7
2/1
5%
18.45
2/2
12%
4.66
2/X
5%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+4.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-3.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
71%
-10.7pp
39%
BTTS No
29%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.40/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.74
+45% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
38.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
27.2 Crosses 12.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.90 xG 2.10
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
221 Passes 379
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 6-0 HT 4-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
19.04.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 6-1 HT 2-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNSL
30.06.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 2-0 HT 2-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
09.03.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-0 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
31.08.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-1 HT 1-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİNK
30.07.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-0 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan
2-1
AWAY Beijing Guoan
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
271 Passes 292
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan edged past Beijing Guoan 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shandong Taishan as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Shandong Taishan had 46% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 54%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Shandong Taishan and 1.50 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Beijing Guoan?

Shandong Taishan 2-1 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 52%, draw 22%, Beijing Guoan 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shandong Taishan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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