Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.28
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
10%
13.5
X/1
15%
4.96
X/2
10%
6.1
X/X
8%
4.37
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
12%
4.51
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+7.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.35 xG 1.18
56% Ball Possession 44%
23 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
305 Passes 239
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2025 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 4-2 HT 4-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
29.03.2025 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 HT 1-1 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
07.07.2024 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 2-0 HT 0-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
09.03.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 HT 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
1-0
AWAY Liaoning Shenyang
1.38 xG 0.49
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
526 Passes 334
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
32 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Liaoning Shenyang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long nicked a narrow win over Liaoning Shenyang 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 59% of the ball to Liaoning Shenyang's 41%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.38 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Chongqing Tongliang Long and 1.75 for Liaoning Shenyang.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Liaoning Shenyang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 49%, draw 24%, Liaoning Shenyang 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİNSL More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
14 Mar 2026
10:30 Shandong Taishan vs Beijing Guoan Analysis →
10:30 Zhejiang G. FC vs Shanghai Shenhua Analysis →
15:00 Shenzhen FC vs Tianjin Teda Analysis →