Liaoning Shenyang 4-2 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
23%
2.94
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.95
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 28% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
22%
Draw
30%
-7.9pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.3pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.42/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.72
+38% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
15.3 Crosses 20.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 1.43
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
276 Passes 274
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2025 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 HT 1-1 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
07.07.2024 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 2-0 HT 0-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
09.03.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0 HT 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
4-2
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
1.88 xG 1.19
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
164 Passes 366
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang got the better of Chongqing Tongliang Long 4-2. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 39% — and on the day Liaoning Shenyang made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liaoning Shenyang had 35% of the ball to Chongqing Tongliang Long's 65%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 1.88 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chongqing Tongliang Long led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Liaoning Shenyang and 1.00 for Chongqing Tongliang Long.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Liaoning Shenyang 4-2 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 38%, draw 22%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 39%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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