Yanbian Longding 1-0 Qingdao Red Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
39%
3.28
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.64
Over 2.5
29%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
4.2
6+ Goals
6%
21.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 39% vs market 31.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-12.4pp
39%
Draw
27%
+11.6pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.8pp
71%
Under 2.5
57%
+13.4pp
29%
Over 2.5
43%
-13.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.5pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 22%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.44/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.08
+11% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
17.1 Crosses 18.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yanbian Longding
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.00 xG 1.13
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
319 Passes 299
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 1-1 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
19.10.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 0-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
08.06.2024 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 3-2 HT 1-1 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
1-0
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
0.80 xG 0.36
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 6
160 Passes 372
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Qingdao Red Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding squeezed past Qingdao Red Lions 1-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 39% / 20%) promised a tight game; Yanbian Longding found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Yanbian Longding had 35% of the ball to Qingdao Red Lions's 65%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.80 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Qingdao Red Lions led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yanbian Longding and 1.33 for Qingdao Red Lions.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Yanbian Longding 1-0 Qingdao Red Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 41%, draw 39%, Qingdao Red Lions 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yanbian Longding), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yanbian Longding) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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