Suzhou Dongwu 0-1 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 32% vs market 29.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-12.3pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.34/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.31
-26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
19.9 Crosses 13.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.51 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
302 Passes 253
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.07.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 3-1 HT 1-1 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
30.03.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-2 HT 0-1 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
20.10.2024 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
17.08.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 0-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
08.06.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-4 HT 1-2 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
31.03.2024 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 3-0 HT 2-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
0-1
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
0.65 xG 0.34
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
394 Passes 192
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 14
39 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Suzhou Dongwu vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi nicked a narrow win over Suzhou Dongwu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Suzhou Dongwu at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Suzhou Dongwu had 65% of the ball to Foshan Nanshi's 35%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.65 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suzhou Dongwu had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Suzhou Dongwu and 1.00 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Suzhou Dongwu vs Foshan Nanshi?

Suzhou Dongwu 0-1 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suzhou Dongwu vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suzhou Dongwu win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Suzhou Dongwu 48%, draw 29%, Foshan Nanshi 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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