Foshan Nanshi 1-1 Suzhou Dongwu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 26% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
+0.0pp
34%
Draw
26%
+8.2pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-8.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 53%
-21% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
0.81/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.04/0.78
-4% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
17.7 Crosses 5.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 0.87
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
229 Passes 286
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-4 HT 1-2 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
31.03.2024 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 3-0 HT 2-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
09.10.2023 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 1-2 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
26.08.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 3-0 HT 1-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
17.06.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-0 HT 0-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
14.05.2023 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 0-2 HT 0-2 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foshan Nanshi
1-1
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu
1.08 xG 1.69
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
218 Passes 268
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
8 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Suzhou Dongwu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi and Suzhou Dongwu shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Suzhou Dongwu at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Foshan Nanshi had 46% of the ball to Suzhou Dongwu's 54%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 1.08 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foshan Nanshi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 1.33 for Suzhou Dongwu.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Foshan Nanshi 1-1 Suzhou Dongwu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suzhou Dongwu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 25%, draw 34%, Suzhou Dongwu 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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