Hubei Istar 1-2 Ganzhou Ruishi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.8
Over 2.5
36%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.1pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.5pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-9.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+12.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-12.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hubei Istar EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ganzhou Ruishi EU Bookmakers 46%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hubei Istar
1-2
AWAY Ganzhou Ruishi
0.87 xG 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
254 Passes 146
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hubei Istar vs Ganzhou Ruishi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ganzhou Ruishi nicked a narrow win over Hubei Istar 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Ganzhou Ruishi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hubei Istar had 56% of the ball to Ganzhou Ruishi's 44%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.87 to 1.33.

What was the final score of Hubei Istar vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

Hubei Istar 1-2 Ganzhou Ruishi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hubei Istar vs Ganzhou Ruishi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hubei Istar win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Hubei Istar 34%, draw 33%, Ganzhou Ruishi 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hubei Istar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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