Guangxi Hengchen 5-0 Haimen Codion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Haimen Codion EU Bookmakers 26%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
0.44/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.21
-29% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
24.0 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Hengchen
5-0
AWAY Haimen Codion
1.47 xG 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
326 Passes 230
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Guangxi Hengchen vs Haimen Codion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guangxi Hengchen ran out comfortable winners over Haimen Codion 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guangxi Hengchen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Guangxi Hengchen had 58% of the ball to Haimen Codion's 42%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.47 to 0.50.

What was the final score of Guangxi Hengchen vs Haimen Codion?

Guangxi Hengchen 5-0 Haimen Codion in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangxi Hengchen vs Haimen Codion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Hengchen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Hengchen 42%, draw 28%, Haimen Codion 30%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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