Liaoning Shenyang 5-1 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 31%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.07/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.58
+21% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
16.3 Crosses 7.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Nanjing City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.85 xG 1.08
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
180 Passes 380
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.03.2024 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-0 HT 0-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
05.11.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 3-0 HT 3-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
23.07.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 4-0 HT 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
16.09.2022 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 1-1 HT 0-1 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
30.08.2022 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-0 HT 1-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
30.09.2021 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 3-3 HT 2-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
5-1
AWAY Nanjing City
1.83 xG 1.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
304 Passes 232
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang ran out comfortable winners over Nanjing City 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Liaoning Shenyang made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liaoning Shenyang had 50% of the ball to Nanjing City's 50%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.83 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nanjing City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Liaoning Shenyang and 1.67 for Nanjing City.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Nanjing City?

Liaoning Shenyang 5-1 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 39%, draw 31%, Nanjing City 30%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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