Wuxi Wugou 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.97
6+ Goals
6%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 36% vs market 28.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.3pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuxi Wugou EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 53%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.16/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.58
+42% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 81%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
15.6 Crosses 17.6
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuxi Wugou
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.49 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
222 Passes 174
66% Pass Accuracy 65%
11 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.03.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 1-0 HT 0-0 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
03.09.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 1-1 HT 0-1 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
21.05.2023 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 1-2 HT 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuxi Wugou
0-0
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
0.42 xG 0.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
265 Passes 382
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 6
17 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wuxi Wugou vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuxi Wugou and Guangxi Baoyun played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Guangxi Baoyun at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wuxi Wugou had 44% of the ball to Guangxi Baoyun's 56%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.42 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wuxi Wugou and 1.33 for Guangxi Baoyun.

What was the final score of Wuxi Wugou vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Wuxi Wugou 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuxi Wugou vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Wuxi Wugou 28%, draw 25%, Guangxi Baoyun 47%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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