Horsham 0-1 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
8%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 33% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Horsham EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 29%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.34/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.50
-19% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Horsham
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
18.10.2025 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-2 HT 0-1 Horsham Horsham İCON
POST-MATCH Horsham vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels edged past Horsham 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Horsham at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Horsham vs Tonbridge Angels?

Horsham 0-1 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Horsham vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Horsham win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Horsham 47%, draw 22%, Tonbridge Angels 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Horsham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Horsham) ✓ Under 2.5
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