Torquay United 2-1 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +18%
1.63/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.92
+13% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Chesham United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
18.10.2025 Chesham United Chesham United 1-0 HT 1-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
05.04.2025 Torquay United Torquay United 1-2 HT 1-0 Chesham United Chesham United İCON
26.08.2024 Chesham United Chesham United 2-3 HT 1-1 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
19.12.2020 Chesham United Chesham United 0-1 HT 0-0 Torquay United Torquay United FAK
13.12.2015 Torquay United Torquay United 0-0 HT 0-0 Chesham United Chesham United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
2-1
AWAY Chesham United
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United nicked a narrow win over Chesham United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Torquay United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Torquay United had 61% of the ball to Chesham United's 39%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Torquay United and 1.00 for Chesham United.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs Chesham United?

Torquay United 2-1 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 44%, draw 24%, Chesham United 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torquay United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torquay United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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