Chesham United 2-3 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Aug 2024

Chesham United
2-3 HT 1-1
Torquay United
📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Chesham United vs Torquay United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.7
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chesham United v Torquay United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Chesham United vs Torquay United Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesham United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Torquay United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 5
The Meetings
19.12.2020 Chesham United Chesham United 0-1 HT 0-0 Torquay United Torquay United FAK
13.12.2015 Torquay United Torquay United 0-0 HT 0-0 Chesham United Chesham United FAK
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torquay United squeezed past Chesham United 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Torquay United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Torquay United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Chesham United and 0.50 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Torquay United?

Chesham United 2-3 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 35%, draw 27%, Torquay United 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torquay United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torquay United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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