Chorley vs Southport Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chorley v Southport — Team-Based Signals
Chorley vs Southport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chorley 4-1 Southport — Actual Match Statistics
Chorley swept aside Southport 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Chorley as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
On the day, Chorley had 49% of the ball to Southport's 51%, shots finished 16-12.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chorley had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chorley and 0.83 for Southport.
Chorley vs Southport Result & Final Score
Chorley 4 - 1 Southport in the England - Conference on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chorley vs Southport Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Chorley 54%, draw 25%, Southport 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.