Chorley vs Southport Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chorley v Southport — Team-Based Signals
Chorley vs Southport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Chorley
İCON
1-2
HT 1-0
Southport
İCON
2-1
HT 0-1
Chorley
İCON
2-1
HT 0-1
Southport
İCON
0-0
HT 0-0
Chorley
İCON
Chorley 4-1 Southport — Actual Match Statistics
Chorley swept aside Southport 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chorley as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chorley had 49% of the ball to Southport's 51%, shots finished 16-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chorley had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chorley and 0.83 for Southport.
What was the final score of Chorley vs Southport?
Chorley 4-1 Southport in the England - Conference on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chorley vs Southport?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chorley 48%, draw 26%, Southport 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.