Salisbury 2-1 Boreham Wood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
45%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 31% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-9.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 59%
+59% / +59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.96
-17% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
217 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salisbury
2-1
AWAY Boreham Wood
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs Boreham Wood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury edged past Boreham Wood 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Boreham Wood at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salisbury had 41% of the ball to Boreham Wood's 59%, shots finished 17-16.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs Boreham Wood?

Salisbury 2-1 Boreham Wood in the England - Conference on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs Boreham Wood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 29%, draw 26%, Boreham Wood 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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