Chelmsford City 1-1 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
29%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 26% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
59%
-14.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +25%
1.63/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.11
-12% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Chippenham Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-2 HT 1-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
07.01.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
23.08.2022 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
29.01.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
11.09.2021 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-3 HT 1-2 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
21.11.2020 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelmsford City
1-1
AWAY Chippenham Town
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City and Chippenham Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chelmsford City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Chelmsford City had 47% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 53%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chippenham Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chelmsford City and 1.17 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Chippenham Town?

Chelmsford City 1-1 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 45%, draw 26%, Chippenham Town 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelmsford City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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