Farnborough 0-2 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.5
6+ Goals
7%
13.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 30% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farnborough EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.83/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.50
+10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farnborough
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
24 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
01.04.2024 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-2 HT 1-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
24.10.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 4-1 HT 2-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
25.04.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 1-2 HT 0-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
13.09.2022 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 2-1 HT 2-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farnborough
0-2
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farnborough vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tonbridge Angels got the better of Farnborough 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Farnborough at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Farnborough had 59% of the ball to Tonbridge Angels's 41%, shots finished 18-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Farnborough and 1.50 for Tonbridge Angels.

What was the final score of Farnborough vs Tonbridge Angels?

Farnborough 0-2 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farnborough vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Farnborough 43%, draw 28%, Tonbridge Angels 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Farnborough), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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