Maidstone United 0-1 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.75
6+ Goals
11%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 26%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.59/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.82
-5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 1-0 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
28.10.2023 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-1 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
0-1
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare edged past Maidstone United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Maidstone United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Maidstone United had 56% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 44%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maidstone United had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maidstone United and 0.50 for Weston-super-Mare.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Weston-super-Mare?

Maidstone United 0-1 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 43%, draw 27%, Weston-super-Mare 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maidstone United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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