Dorking Wanderers 2-1 St. Albans City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.95
6+ Goals
13%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.51/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.37
+41% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1W-0D-1L
AWAY St. Albans City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2022 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-0 HT 0-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
21.08.2021 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-2 HT 1-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
2-1
AWAY St. Albans City
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs St. Albans City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers squeezed past St. Albans City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 57% of the ball to St. Albans City's 43%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 1.50 for St. Albans City.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs St. Albans City?

Dorking Wanderers 2-1 St. Albans City in the England - Conference on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs St. Albans City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 48%, draw 24%, St. Albans City 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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