Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 29% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 24%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
1.75/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.54
-3% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Chester
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Chester Chester 1-1 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
04.05.2025 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 HT 1-1 Chester Chester İCON
11.02.2025 Chester Chester 1-1 HT 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
03.09.2024 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
07.03.2023 Chester Chester 2-0 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
07.12.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-2 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers and Chester couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kidderminster Harriers at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 1.50 for Chester.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Chester?

Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 Chester in the England - Conference on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 54%, draw 26%, Chester 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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