Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.68
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +13%
1.93/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.51
+8% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Chester
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2025 Chester Chester 1-1 HT 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
03.09.2024 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
07.03.2023 Chester Chester 2-0 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
07.12.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-2 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
15.04.2022 Chester Chester 2-2 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
30.08.2021 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 3-1 HT 1-0 Chester Chester İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
1-2
AWAY Chester
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester squeezed past Kidderminster Harriers 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kidderminster Harriers at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 49% of the ball to Chester's 51%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 1.50 for Chester.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Chester?

Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 Chester in the England - Conference on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 52%, draw 24%, Chester 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İCON More England - Conference
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