Chester 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.21
2-3 Goals
45%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.92
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.2pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.67/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.31
+27% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2024 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
07.03.2023 Chester Chester 2-0 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
07.12.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-2 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
15.04.2022 Chester Chester 2-2 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
30.08.2021 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 3-1 HT 1-0 Chester Chester İCON
06.10.2020 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 HT 1-1 Chester Chester İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
1-1
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chester vs Kidderminster Harriers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester and Kidderminster Harriers shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Chester at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Chester had 61% of the ball to Kidderminster Harriers's 39%, shots finished 8-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chester and 1.17 for Kidderminster Harriers.

What was the final score of Chester vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Chester 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers in the England - Conference on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chester 42%, draw 29%, Kidderminster Harriers 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chester), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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