Dorking Wanderers 1-0 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 32% vs market 26.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
2.15/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.74
+17% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
335 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-0 HT 1-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
05.02.2022 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-3 HT 1-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
25.09.2021 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 3-1 HT 2-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
14.11.2020 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 4-1 HT 3-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1-0
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers squeezed past Tonbridge Angels 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 65% of the ball to Tonbridge Angels's 35%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Tonbridge Angels led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 2.00 for Tonbridge Angels.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels?

Dorking Wanderers 1-0 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 52%, draw 25%, Tonbridge Angels 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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