AFC Hornchurch 2-1 Boreham Wood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
44%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.84
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 28% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-8.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 56%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.25
-100% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
262 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Hornchurch
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Boreham Wood
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.10.2024 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-1 HT 1-0 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Hornchurch
2-1
AWAY Boreham Wood
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Boreham Wood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch nicked a narrow win over Boreham Wood 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Boreham Wood at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Hornchurch had 43% of the ball to Boreham Wood's 57%, shots finished 5-12.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Boreham Wood?

AFC Hornchurch 2-1 Boreham Wood in the England - Conference on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Boreham Wood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 28%, draw 28%, Boreham Wood 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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