Worthing 2-2 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.38
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 24% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.97/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.41
+33% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
287 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Torquay United
3.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
04.01.2025 Worthing Worthing 5-1 HT 4-0 Torquay United Torquay United İNFAT
22.10.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 2-1 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
27.01.2024 Worthing Worthing 4-2 HT 3-1 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
12.08.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 0-3 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
2-2
AWAY Torquay United
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing and Torquay United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Worthing had 59% of the ball to Torquay United's 41%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Worthing had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.25 goals for Worthing and 1.25 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Torquay United?

Worthing 2-2 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Worthing 38%, draw 30%, Torquay United 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Worthing) ✗ Under 2.5
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