Worthing 5-1 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Torquay United
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
22.10.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 2-1 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
27.01.2024 Worthing Worthing 4-2 HT 3-1 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
12.08.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 0-3 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing ran out comfortable winners over Torquay United 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Worthing made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Worthing had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Worthing and 1.33 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Torquay United?

Worthing 5-1 Torquay United in the England - FA Cup on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Worthing 41%, draw 23%, Torquay United 36%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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