Sittingbourne 2-1 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.7pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sittingbourne EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 39%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+102% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sittingbourne vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sittingbourne nicked a narrow win over Salisbury 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Sittingbourne found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Sittingbourne vs Salisbury?

Sittingbourne 2-1 Salisbury in the England - FA Cup on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sittingbourne vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sittingbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sittingbourne 39%, draw 22%, Salisbury 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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