Forest Green Rovers 2-0 Chorley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
60%
-15.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+12.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Chorley EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
506 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Chorley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers beat Chorley 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Forest Green Rovers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Chorley?

Forest Green Rovers 2-0 Chorley in the England - FA Cup on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Chorley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 44%, draw 25%, Chorley 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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