Gainsborough Trinity 1-0 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.13
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
43%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
21%
+12.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
43%
Away Win
58%
-14.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.8pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 62%
+57% / +57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-31% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
157 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
1W-0D-0L
AWAY York City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 10
14.04.2018 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-0 HT 0-0 York City York City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
1-0
AWAY York City
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity nicked a narrow win over York City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was York City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 31% of the ball to York City's 69%, shots finished 9-17.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs York City?

Gainsborough Trinity 1-0 York City in the England - FA Cup on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 34%, draw 23%, York City 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (York City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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