Basford United 1-4 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.13
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
21%
+12.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.6pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-12.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basford United EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +42%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 451 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basford United
1-4
AWAY Eastleigh
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Basford United vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh ran out comfortable winners over Basford United 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eastleigh as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Basford United had 43% of the ball to Eastleigh's 57%, shots finished 16-13.

What was the final score of Basford United vs Eastleigh?

Basford United 1-4 Eastleigh in the England - FA Cup on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basford United vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eastleigh win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Basford United 34%, draw 21%, Eastleigh 46%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastleigh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eastleigh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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