Altrincham 3-1 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.6pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 33%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-76% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
114 · 94% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 107 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Barnet
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2024 Barnet Barnet 2-1 HT 1-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
06.01.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 3-2 HT 2-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
09.09.2023 Barnet Barnet 3-0 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
21.02.2023 Barnet Barnet 2-4 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
08.11.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 0-2 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
02.05.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
3-1
AWAY Barnet
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham saw off Barnet 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Altrincham as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Altrincham had 42% of the ball to Barnet's 58%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnet led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Altrincham and 2.00 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Barnet?

Altrincham 3-1 Barnet in the England - FA Cup on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 41%, draw 24%, Barnet 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altrincham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Altrincham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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