Southend United 1-0 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.7pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
1-0
AWAY Southport
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United nicked a narrow win over Southport 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Southend United had 66% of the ball to Southport's 34%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Southport?

Southend United 1-0 Southport in the England - FA Cup on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Southend United 54%, draw 21%, Southport 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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