Chippenham Town 2-0 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 28% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.0pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.27/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.00
-4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Chesham United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Chesham United Chesham United 2-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İNFAT
22.10.2024 Chesham United Chesham United 3-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
2-0
AWAY Chesham United
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town got the better of Chesham United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Chippenham Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 47% of the ball to Chesham United's 53%, shots finished 12-21.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chesham United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chippenham Town and 2.50 for Chesham United.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Chesham United?

Chippenham Town 2-0 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chippenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 36%, draw 27%, Chesham United 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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