Chesham United 3-1 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Oct 2024

Chesham United
3-1 HT 0-1
Chippenham Town
📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Chesham United vs Chippenham Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.47
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.43
6+ Goals
8%
13.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chesham United v Chippenham Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 24%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +17%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.19
+69% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.4

Chesham United 3-1 Chippenham Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesham United
3-1
AWAY Chippenham Town
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesham United saw off Chippenham Town 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chesham United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Chesham United had 57% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 43%, shots finished 9-5.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Chippenham Town?

Chesham United 3-1 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 44%, draw 25%, Chippenham Town 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesham United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chesham United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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