Chester 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.84
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.73
6+ Goals
8%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 36% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.73/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.15
+24% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-2 HT 1-1 Chester Chester İCON
11.02.2025 Chester Chester 1-1 HT 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
03.09.2024 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
07.03.2023 Chester Chester 2-0 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
07.12.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-2 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
15.04.2022 Chester Chester 2-2 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
1-1
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chester vs Kidderminster Harriers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester and Kidderminster Harriers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chester at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Chester had 48% of the ball to Kidderminster Harriers's 52%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chester and 0.83 for Kidderminster Harriers.

What was the final score of Chester vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Chester 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers in the England - Conference on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chester 41%, draw 24%, Kidderminster Harriers 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chester), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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