Macclesfield 3-2 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.02
6+ Goals
9%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 34%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +20%
1.46/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.06
-2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macclesfield
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-2 HT 1-2 Macclesfield Macclesfield İNFAT
09.12.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-2 HT 0-0 Macclesfield Macclesfield FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macclesfield
3-2
AWAY Curzon Ashton
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Macclesfield vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macclesfield nicked a narrow win over Curzon Ashton 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Macclesfield made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Macclesfield had 64% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 36%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Macclesfield had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Macclesfield and 1.00 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Macclesfield vs Curzon Ashton?

Macclesfield 3-2 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macclesfield vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Macclesfield 38%, draw 28%, Curzon Ashton 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macclesfield), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✓ BTTS Yes
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