Peterborough Sports 1-1 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Oct 2025

Peterborough Sports
1-1 HT 0-1
Alfreton Town
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2025/2026

Peterborough Sports vs Alfreton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.2
6+ Goals
8%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Peterborough Sports v Alfreton Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.33/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.50
-5% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Peterborough Sports vs Alfreton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Alfreton Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.04.2025 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
05.11.2024 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 3-1 HT 0-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
23.01.2024 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-1 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
15.08.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
07.04.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-2 HT 1-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
27.09.2022 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON

Peterborough Sports 1-1 Alfreton Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
1-1
AWAY Alfreton Town
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough Sports and Alfreton Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 62% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 38%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Peterborough Sports and 1.67 for Alfreton Town.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Alfreton Town?

Peterborough Sports 1-1 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 35%, draw 30%, Alfreton Town 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5
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