Chesham United 1-0 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.71/2.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.26
+32% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesham United
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Torquay United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2025 Torquay United Torquay United 1-2 HT 1-0 Chesham United Chesham United İCON
26.08.2024 Chesham United Chesham United 2-3 HT 1-1 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
19.12.2020 Chesham United Chesham United 0-1 HT 0-0 Torquay United Torquay United FAK
13.12.2015 Torquay United Torquay United 0-0 HT 0-0 Chesham United Chesham United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesham United
1-0
AWAY Torquay United
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesham United edged past Torquay United 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Chesham United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Chesham United had 48% of the ball to Torquay United's 52%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Torquay United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chesham United and 1.25 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Torquay United?

Chesham United 1-0 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 32%, draw 31%, Torquay United 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Torquay United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torquay United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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