Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Horsham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.21
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 30% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Horsham EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.34/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tonbridge Angels
1-2
AWAY Horsham
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Horsham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Horsham squeezed past Tonbridge Angels 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Horsham as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tonbridge Angels had 53% of the ball to Horsham's 47%, shots finished 9-13.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Horsham?

Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Horsham in the England - Conference on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Horsham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Horsham win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 35%, draw 23%, Horsham 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Horsham) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Horsham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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