Chippenham Town 1-1 Dover Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 29% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
40%
-8.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.9pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.32/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.76
-6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
271 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Dover Athletic
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
02.09.2023 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
11.03.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
12.11.2022 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
1-1
AWAY Dover Athletic
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Dover Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town and Dover Athletic shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 56% of the ball to Dover Athletic's 44%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chippenham Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Chippenham Town and 1.00 for Dover Athletic.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Dover Athletic?

Chippenham Town 1-1 Dover Athletic in the England - Conference on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Dover Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dover Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 32%, draw 31%, Dover Athletic 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dover Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dover Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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