Chippenham Town 2-1 Dover Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.73/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.35
+11% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Dover Athletic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
11.03.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
12.11.2022 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
2-1
AWAY Dover Athletic
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Dover Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town edged past Dover Athletic 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chippenham Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 55% of the ball to Dover Athletic's 45%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chippenham Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chippenham Town and 1.00 for Dover Athletic.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Dover Athletic?

Chippenham Town 2-1 Dover Athletic in the England - Conference on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Dover Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chippenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 41%, draw 24%, Dover Athletic 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chippenham Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chippenham Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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