Torquay United 1-2 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.9
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torquay United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.75/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.75
-1% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torquay United
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Chesham United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 12
26.08.2024 Chesham United Chesham United 2-3 HT 1-1 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
19.12.2020 Chesham United Chesham United 0-1 HT 0-0 Torquay United Torquay United FAK
13.12.2015 Torquay United Torquay United 0-0 HT 0-0 Chesham United Chesham United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torquay United
1-2
AWAY Chesham United
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torquay United vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesham United edged past Torquay United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Torquay United at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torquay United had 62% of the ball to Chesham United's 38%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torquay United had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Torquay United and 0.67 for Chesham United.

What was the final score of Torquay United vs Chesham United?

Torquay United 1-2 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torquay United vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torquay United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Torquay United 53%, draw 24%, Chesham United 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torquay United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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