Chippenham Town 0-1 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.47
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 30% vs market 22.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.29/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.19
-3% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Chelmsford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
11.11.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-2 HT 1-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
07.01.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
23.08.2022 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
29.01.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
11.09.2021 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-3 HT 1-2 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
0-1
AWAY Chelmsford City
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City nicked a narrow win over Chippenham Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Chelmsford City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 49% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 51%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chippenham Town and 1.00 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Chelmsford City?

Chippenham Town 0-1 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 33%, draw 28%, Chelmsford City 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelmsford City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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